BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Inca Dove In Gulf Coastal Prairie

All regionsGulf Coastal PrairieGeneralists

Inca Dove in Gulf Coastal Prairie has surged: up 181% on the route-weighted index since 1972.

+181%Since 1972
37Routes In Region
49Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Inca Dove has surged in Gulf Coastal Prairie: up 181% on the route-weighted index since 1972.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Inca Dove in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to rise about 51% by 2029 — from 1.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.9 (95% range 0.59–3.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±233.6%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+51%Change by 2029
1.9Projected 2029 index
0.59–3.395% range
±233.6%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.90.503.2
20261.90.523.2
20271.90.553.3
20281.90.573.3
20291.90.593.3

Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie

Routes recording Inca Dove in Gulf Coastal Prairie.
Bayside 2TEXAS142001
McfaddinTEXAS72016
Ltl ChenierLOUISIANA62024
MauriceLOUISIANA52024
KaplanLOUISIANA52023
Loyola BeachTEXAS42009
Hackberry 2LOUISIANA32018
WoodlawnLOUISIANA32019
Hinkles FerTEXAS32015
VanderbiltTEXAS31969
DanburyTEXAS32024
Rock IslandTEXAS32024
Goliad PrairieTEXAS32015
HackberryLOUISIANA22016
GlencoeLOUISIANA22017
RichardLOUISIANA22024
Ville PlatteLOUISIANA22019
Forked IslandLOUISIANA22018
Vinton 2LOUISIANA22024
Lag AtascosaTEXAS22024
WinnieTEXAS22009
BaysideTEXAS22003
Moon LakeTEXAS22011
EstherLOUISIANA12024
Forked Island 2LOUISIANA12011

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.