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Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Inca Dove In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauGeneralists

Inca Dove in Edwards Plateau has fallen sharply: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-63%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
21Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Inca Dove has fallen sharply in Edwards Plateau: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Inca Dove In Edwards Plateau Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Inca Dove in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 69% by 2030 — from 0.88 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 0.00–3.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±307%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+69%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.5Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–3.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±307%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Inca Dove in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 69% by 2030 — from 0.88 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 0.00–3.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±307%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20261.50.003.3
20271.50.003.3
20281.50.003.3
20291.50.003.3
20301.50.003.2

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Inca Dove in Edwards Plateau.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
LeanderTEXAS72006
FitzhughTEXAS61980
Valley SpgsTEXAS42025
PidcokeTEXAS42009
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS42025
UtopiaTEXAS32024
GeorgetownTEXAS31971
MontellTEXAS32019
RockspringTEXAS32005
KempnerTEXAS22025
ManorTEXAS22018
Pidcoke 2TEXAS22025
BoerneTEXAS12023
HarperTEXAS12017
San SabaTEXAS12021
AdamsvilleTEXAS12025
Indian MtnTEXAS12022
Dripping SpgTEXAS12017
Manor 2TEXAS12025
LeakeyTEXAS12023
Allen CreekTEXAS12013

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.