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Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Inca Dove In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauGeneralists

Inca Dove in Edwards Plateau has fallen sharply: down 73% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-73%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
19Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Inca Dove has fallen sharply in Edwards Plateau: down 73% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Inca Dove in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 174% by 2029 — from 0.56 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 0.00–3.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±327.2%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+174%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.5Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–3.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±327.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Inca Dove in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 174% by 2029 — from 0.56 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 0.00–3.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±327.2%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.60.003.4
20261.60.003.3
20271.60.003.3
20281.60.003.3
20291.50.003.3

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Inca Dove in Edwards Plateau.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
LeanderTEXAS72006
FitzhughTEXAS61980
PidcokeTEXAS42009
UtopiaTEXAS32024
GeorgetownTEXAS31971
KempnerTEXAS32024
MontellTEXAS32019
RockspringTEXAS32005
ManorTEXAS22018
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS22024
BoerneTEXAS12023
Valley SpgsTEXAS12024
HarperTEXAS12017
San SabaTEXAS12021
AdamsvilleTEXAS12015
Indian MtnTEXAS12022
Dripping SpgTEXAS12017
LeakeyTEXAS12023
Allen CreekTEXAS12013

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.