BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Horned Lark In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

All regionsNew England / Mid-Atlantic CoastGrassland birds

Horned Lark in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has fallen sharply: down 56% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-56%Since 1968
85Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Horned Lark has fallen sharply in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast: down 56% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Horned Lark in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to rise about 53% by 2029 — from 1.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.2 (95% range 0.83–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±66.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+53%Change by 2029
2.2Projected 2029 index
0.83–3.695% range
±66.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.20.843.6
20262.20.833.6
20272.20.833.6
20282.20.833.6
20292.20.833.6

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording Horned Lark in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
HarmonyMARYLAND362017
Snow HillMARYLAND271976
HolleyvilleDELAWARE222004
PepperboxDELAWARE222016
HarringtonDELAWARE182024
FrankfordDELAWARE172012
FredericaDELAWARE162014
Milton 2DELAWARE162017
Grove NeckMARYLAND141996
Holleyville 2DELAWARE132024
Pepperbox 2DELAWARE102024
EastonMARYLAND102021
ViennaMARYLAND102024
CokesburyMARYLAND102024
SinepuxentMARYLAND101978
MelitotaMARYLAND92024
MillingtonMARYLAND82024
Piney NeckMARYLAND82024
IndiantownMARYLAND82014
BlackbirdDELAWARE72024
FruitlandMARYLAND61998
Quonset PtRHODE-ISLAND61993
Mt PleasantDELAWARE52019
DoverDELAWARE51986
Lowes XrdsDELAWARE41991

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.