BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Hairy Woodpecker In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaForest birds

Hairy Woodpecker in Peninsular Florida has declined: down 46% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-46%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
30Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
37YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Hairy Woodpecker in Peninsular Florida. See the full index history below.

Hairy Woodpecker In Peninsular Florida Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Hairy Woodpecker in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 81% by 2029 — from 0.10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±48.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-81%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.02Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.1495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±48.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Hairy Woodpecker in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 81% by 2029 — from 0.10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±48.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.030.000.14
20260.030.000.14
20270.020.000.14
20280.020.000.14
20290.020.000.14

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Hairy Woodpecker in Peninsular Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
St LucieFLORIDA61995
MicanopyFLORIDA21966
Polk CityFLORIDA21975
ChildsFLORIDA22011
KenansvilleFLORIDA21998
IndiantownFLORIDA22000
DeanvilleFLORIDA21996
ArbuckleFLORIDA22007
WebbFLORIDA22024
RomeoFLORIDA12018
Myakka HeadFLORIDA11970
St AugustineFLORIDA11986
BelmoreFLORIDA11973
MabelFLORIDA11976
ScottsmoorFLORIDA11992
Sunniland GrFLORIDA11977
PinecrestFLORIDA12016
SalvistaFLORIDA11973
Ft MccoyFLORIDA12004
NobletonFLORIDA11991
KissimmeeFLORIDA11994
Pleasant Grove 2FLORIDA12011
OcalaFLORIDA12000
CroomFLORIDA12024
Green SwampFLORIDA11995

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.