BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Hairy Woodpecker In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesForest birds

Hairy Woodpecker in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 82% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+82%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
37Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
54YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Hairy Woodpecker in Oaks and Prairies. See the full index history below.

Hairy Woodpecker In Oaks and Prairies Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Hairy Woodpecker in Oaks and Prairies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.06 (95% range 0.00–0.19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±126.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.06Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.1995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±126.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Hairy Woodpecker in Oaks and Prairies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.06 (95% range 0.00–0.19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±126.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.070.000.20
20270.070.000.20
20280.070.000.20
20290.060.000.20
20300.060.000.19

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Hairy Woodpecker in Oaks and Prairies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
BartlesvilleOKLAHOMA32024
LocoOKLAHOMA21978
ChoctawOKLAHOMA22005
BarnsdallOKLAHOMA21974
HeyburnOKLAHOMA22024
DuncanOKLAHOMA22024
Oak GroveTEXAS21986
OlaTEXAS21988
BonnerTEXAS22022
Mill CreekOKLAHOMA12017
ArdmoreOKLAHOMA12007
HoldenvilleOKLAHOMA12017
BeggsOKLAHOMA12013
NobleOKLAHOMA12019
TatumsOKLAHOMA12023
SkiatookOKLAHOMA12014
MuldoonTEXAS11986
LockhartTEXAS11983
Peach CreekTEXAS11984
Massey LakeTEXAS12005
OakwoodTEXAS11986
KosseTEXAS12007
WeatherfordTEXAS11978
SeldenTEXAS11982
LydiaTEXAS12025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.