Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Hairy Woodpecker In Oaks and Prairies
Hairy Woodpecker in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 132% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+132%Since 1969
37Routes In Region
53Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Hairy Woodpecker has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 132% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Hairy Woodpecker in Oaks and Prairies is projected to fall about 60% by 2029 — from 0.17 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.07 (95% range 0.00–0.20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±79.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-60%Change by 2029
0.07Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.2095% range
±79.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.21 |
| 2026 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.21 |
| 2027 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| 2028 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| 2029 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.20 |
Routes In Oaks and Prairies
| Bartlesville | OKLAHOMA | 3 | 2024 |
| Loco | OKLAHOMA | 2 | 1978 |
| Choctaw | OKLAHOMA | 2 | 2005 |
| Barnsdall | OKLAHOMA | 2 | 1974 |
| Heyburn | OKLAHOMA | 2 | 2024 |
| Duncan | OKLAHOMA | 2 | 2024 |
| Oak Grove | TEXAS | 2 | 1986 |
| Ola | TEXAS | 2 | 1988 |
| Lydia | TEXAS | 2 | 2023 |
| Bonner | TEXAS | 2 | 2022 |
| Mill Creek | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 2017 |
| Ardmore | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 2007 |
| Holdenville | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 2017 |
| Beggs | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 2013 |
| Noble | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 2019 |
| Tatums | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 2023 |
| Skiatook | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 2014 |
| Muldoon | TEXAS | 1 | 1986 |
| Lockhart | TEXAS | 1 | 1983 |
| Peach Creek | TEXAS | 1 | 1984 |
| Massey Lake | TEXAS | 1 | 2005 |
| Oakwood | TEXAS | 1 | 1986 |
| Kosse | TEXAS | 1 | 2007 |
| Weatherford | TEXAS | 1 | 1978 |
| Selden | TEXAS | 1 | 1982 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.