BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Hairy Woodpecker In Prairie Potholes

All regionsPrairie PotholesForest birds

Hairy Woodpecker in Prairie Potholes has surged: up 304% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+304%Since 1969
88Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Hairy Woodpecker has surged in Prairie Potholes: up 304% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Hairy Woodpecker in Prairie Potholes is projected to rise about 19% by 2029 — from 0.21 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.25 (95% range 0.09–0.41). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+19%Change by 2029
0.25Projected 2029 index
0.09–0.4195% range
±26.1%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.240.080.41
20260.250.080.41
20270.250.090.41
20280.250.090.41
20290.250.090.41

Routes In Prairie Potholes

Routes recording Hairy Woodpecker in Prairie Potholes.
WashingtonIOWA32013
ZearingIOWA21994
ChandlerMINNESOTA21981
ArlingtonMINNESOTA22021
MaynardMINNESOTA22015
AppletonMINNESOTA22019
GlyndonMINNESOTA22024
BeltramiMINNESOTA22024
BadgerMINNESOTA22013
FranklinMINNESOTA22019
Chokio NorthMINNESOTA22016
LockhartMINNESOTA22024
Eagle CreekNEBRASKA21998
MidwayNEBRASKA22019
WimbledonNORTH-DAKOTA22010
BuchananNORTH-DAKOTA22003
DenbighNORTH-DAKOTA22022
Douglas CrkNORTH-DAKOTA22023
Turtle MtnsNORTH-DAKOTA22024
HowardSOUTH-DAKOTA22024
BrittonSOUTH-DAKOTA22017
PantherIOWA12024
KanawhaIOWA12022
ClareIOWA12007
GarnerIOWA11978

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.