BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Greater Roadrunner In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesArid-land birds

Greater Roadrunner in Oaks and Prairies has increased: up 32% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+32%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
65Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Greater Roadrunner in Oaks and Prairies. See the full index history below.

Greater Roadrunner In Oaks and Prairies Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Greater Roadrunner in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 31% by 2029 — from 0.77 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.0 (95% range 0.53–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±61%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+31%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.0Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.53–1.595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±61%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Greater Roadrunner in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 31% by 2029 — from 0.77 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.0 (95% range 0.53–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±61%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.970.501.4
20260.980.511.4
20270.990.521.5
20281.000.531.5
20291.00.531.5

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Greater Roadrunner in Oaks and Prairies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Three RiversTEXAS72024
PaigeTEXAS52024
CreedmoreTEXAS42014
OsageTEXAS32023
GrafordTEXAS32018
Blue RidgeTEXAS32024
YoakumTEXAS32022
BriteTEXAS32024
Mill CreekOKLAHOMA22016
LocoOKLAHOMA21975
MuldoonTEXAS22024
LockhartTEXAS22024
WeatherfordTEXAS22016
Miller GroveTEXAS22023
GainesvilleTEXAS22022
HearneTEXAS22019
WalburgTEXAS22012
FanninTEXAS22021
DuranTEXAS21999
Whit Mtn.TEXAS22019
ComancheTEXAS22024
ArdmoreOKLAHOMA12008
HoldenvilleOKLAHOMA12024
BeggsOKLAHOMA11967
ChoctawOKLAHOMA12022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.