BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Great Crested Flycatcher In Appalachian Mountains

All regionsAppalachian MountainsAerial insectivores

Great Crested Flycatcher in Appalachian Mountains has declined: down 32% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-32%Since 1968
396Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Great Crested Flycatcher in Appalachian Mountains. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Great Crested Flycatcher in Appalachian Mountains is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 2.2 (95% range 1.4–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+9%Change by 2029
2.2Projected 2029 index
1.4–3.095% range
±14.2%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.31.53.1
20262.31.53.0
20272.31.53.0
20282.21.53.0
20292.21.43.0

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording Great Crested Flycatcher in Appalachian Mountains.
WilliamsportMARYLAND182024
Sunny EveALABAMA132024
GreensportALABAMA122024
RydePENNSYLVANIA122005
Sleepy CreekWEST-VIRGINIA111990
ShanghaiWEST-VIRGINIA112022
Borden Springs 2ALABAMA102024
DoverNEW-JERSEY102023
OxfordNEW-YORK101976
Jonas RidgeNORTH-CAROLINA101968
New MarketVIRGINIA102024
GreentownPENNSYLVANIA92024
PortersvillePENNSYLVANIA91988
DearmanvilleALABAMA81983
RiversideALABAMA82013
ShannonGEORGIA82019
Cumberlnd GpKENTUCKY82018
ClimerTENNESSEE82004
StanleyVIRGINIA82024
RioWEST-VIRGINIA81995
Mt OliveALABAMA72024
ChoccoloccoALABAMA72024
TalladegaALABAMA72024
DrummondALABAMA72024
OldtownMARYLAND72024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.