Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Great Crested Flycatcher In Atlantic Northern Forest
Great Crested Flycatcher in Atlantic Northern Forest has edged down: down 18% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-18%Since 1968
145Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Great Crested Flycatcher in Atlantic Northern Forest. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Great Crested Flycatcher in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to fall about 21% by 2029 — from 1.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.3 (95% range 0.57–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-21%Change by 2029
1.3Projected 2029 index
0.57–2.195% range
±7.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.4 | 0.62 | 2.2 |
| 2026 | 1.4 | 0.61 | 2.1 |
| 2027 | 1.4 | 0.59 | 2.1 |
| 2028 | 1.4 | 0.58 | 2.1 |
| 2029 | 1.3 | 0.57 | 2.1 |
Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest
| Wanakena | NEW-YORK | 7 | 2024 |
| Fletcher | VERMONT | 7 | 2024 |
| Manchester | MAINE | 6 | 1995 |
| Jefferson | MAINE | 6 | 2008 |
| Church Hill | MAINE | 6 | 2017 |
| New Hartford | CONNECTICUT | 5 | 1987 |
| Grnd Lk Strm | MAINE | 5 | 1992 |
| Peterborough | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 5 | 2024 |
| Degrasse | NEW-YORK | 5 | 2024 |
| Reeds | MAINE | 4 | 2024 |
| Freedom | MAINE | 4 | 2022 |
| Harmony | MAINE | 4 | 2024 |
| Brownfield 2 | MAINE | 4 | 2024 |
| Cummington 2 | MASSACHUSETTS | 4 | 2023 |
| Concord | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 4 | 2024 |
| Canterbury | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 4 | 2024 |
| Kasoag | NEW-YORK | 4 | 2024 |
| Post Mills | VERMONT | 4 | 2024 |
| Turner | MAINE | 3 | 2010 |
| Greenwood | MAINE | 3 | 2024 |
| Brooks | MAINE | 3 | 2019 |
| Carrying Pl | MAINE | 3 | 2024 |
| Carrabassett | MAINE | 3 | 1993 |
| Cambridge | MAINE | 3 | 2013 |
| Brownfield | MAINE | 3 | 2009 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.