BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 9 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Gray Flycatcher In Great Basin

All regionsGreat BasinAerial insectivores

Gray Flycatcher in Great Basin has surged: up 614% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+614%Since 1970
133Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Gray Flycatcher has surged in Great Basin: up 614% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Gray Flycatcher in Great Basin is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 3.1 (95% range 2.2–4.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+9%Change by 2029
3.1Projected 2029 index
2.2–4.195% range
±22.6%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.02.03.9
20263.02.13.9
20273.02.14.0
20283.12.14.0
20293.12.24.1

Routes In Great Basin

Routes recording Gray Flycatcher in Great Basin.
Sheldon NwrNEVADA432019
Crowder FlatCALIFORNIA422019
Charleston ReservoirNEVADA292024
Bald Mtn.NEVADA292024
BlitzenOREGON291993
RanchograndeNEVADA272024
RavendaleCALIFORNIA242008
Dinner StaNEVADA241993
SistersOREGON242024
WagontireOREGON222024
Crowley LakeCALIFORNIA212024
Blitzen 2OREGON202024
TionestaCALIFORNIA192021
Barnes ValOREGON191987
DeschutesOREGON182024
BuchananOREGON172024
Clear Lk ResCALIFORNIA152018
Bly 2OREGON152024
MadelineCALIFORNIA132024
PaisleyOREGON122024
Lapham Res.OREGON122024
Dougal ResIDAHO112024
Crooked Riv.OREGON102024
Goose Creek Mtn.UTAH102023
MizpahNEVADA92024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.