BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Gray Catbird In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsGeneralists

Gray Catbird in Central Hardwoods has fallen sharply: down 74% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-74%Since 1968
157Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Gray Catbird has fallen sharply in Central Hardwoods: down 74% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Gray Catbird in Central Hardwoods is projected to fall about 62% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.56 (95% range 0.00–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±43.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-62%Change by 2029
0.56Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.695% range
±43.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.840.001.9
20260.770.001.8
20270.700.001.7
20280.630.001.6
20290.560.001.6

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Gray Catbird in Central Hardwoods.
AzaliaINDIANA102024
VevayINDIANA102024
BelmontINDIANA92024
JohnsonvilleKENTUCKY92021
PlumKENTUCKY82024
Hodgenville 2KENTUCKY82023
BrazilINDIANA72024
SpencerINDIANA72024
HillsboroALABAMA61996
Indian SpgsINDIANA62024
New PhilaINDIANA62023
Cross PlainsINDIANA62024
HustonvilleKENTUCKY62024
Sewell ShopKENTUCKY62023
East UnionKENTUCKY62022
Million 2KENTUCKY62024
RichlandMISSOURI62021
Clear SpringINDIANA52024
HodgenvilleKENTUCKY52003
EugeneMISSOURI52023
BirdsILLINOIS42024
WashingtonINDIANA42023
NewberryINDIANA42024
GeorgiaINDIANA42024
LeveeKENTUCKY41982

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.