BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Gray Catbird In Prairie Potholes

All regionsPrairie PotholesGeneralists

Gray Catbird in Prairie Potholes has surged: up 95% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+95%Since 1969
109Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Gray Catbird has surged in Prairie Potholes: up 95% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Gray Catbird in Prairie Potholes is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 2.1 (95% range 1.6–2.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-9%Change by 2029
2.1Projected 2029 index
1.6–2.595% range
±9.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.01.52.5
20262.01.62.5
20272.01.62.5
20282.11.62.5
20292.11.62.5

Routes In Prairie Potholes

Routes recording Gray Catbird in Prairie Potholes.
Lake BronsonMINNESOTA192011
Turtle MtnsNORTH-DAKOTA152024
CourtlandMINNESOTA122024
PantherIOWA82024
GlyndonMINNESOTA82024
BeltramiMINNESOTA82024
CooperstownNORTH-DAKOTA72024
BadgerMINNESOTA62018
TracyMINNESOTA62024
StanleyNORTH-DAKOTA62023
KanawhaIOWA52024
HuntleyMINNESOTA52024
MaynardMINNESOTA52015
WylieMINNESOTA52024
FairmontMINNESOTA52023
ChinookMONTANA52023
EdgeleyNORTH-DAKOTA52024
EmeradoNORTH-DAKOTA52024
WashingtonIOWA42024
Redwood FallMINNESOTA42024
OkleeMINNESOTA42021
ClevelandMONTANA42024
Eagle CreekNEBRASKA42024
PoncaNEBRASKA42019
BuchananNORTH-DAKOTA42024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.