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Species · Texas · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Golden-fronted Woodpecker Population Trend in Texas

All statesForest birds

Golden-fronted Woodpecker in Texas has declined: down 34% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-34%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
117Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Golden-fronted Woodpecker Trends in TexasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Golden-fronted Woodpecker in Texas. See the full index history below.

Golden-fronted Woodpecker Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Golden-fronted Woodpecker in Texas is projected to fall about 24% by 2030 — from 3.9 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.9 (95% range 1.0–4.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-24%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.9Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.0–4.995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±17.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Golden-fronted Woodpecker in Texas is projected to fall about 24% by 2030 — from 3.9 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.9 (95% range 1.0–4.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20263.01.15.0
20273.01.15.0
20283.01.14.9
20293.01.04.9
20302.91.04.9

Golden-fronted Woodpecker Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Golden-fronted Woodpecker in Texas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Three Rivers5320251994
Guerra4620251988
Millett 24620242013
Agua Nueva4020231969
Cavasara Cr.3520251995
Randado3420251967
Zapata3219871967
Lag Atascosa3120251969
Dilley3120252018
Encinal 22920252011
Catarina 32820252018
Sejita2820241994
San Ygnacio2619851967
Hondo2620251969
Mirando City2520251969
Loyola Beach 22420252010
La Pryor2320171969
Kingsville2120241967
George West2120251967
Catarina2120101970
Campbellton1920241969
Eldorado1820231975
Raymondville1720251969
Catarina 21720172011
Millett1720121995

Golden-fronted Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.