BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Golden-fronted Woodpecker In Chihuahuan Desert

All regionsChihuahuan DesertForest birds

Golden-fronted Woodpecker in Chihuahuan Desert has increased: up 38% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+38%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
12Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
51YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Golden-fronted Woodpecker in Chihuahuan Desert. See the full index history below.

Golden-fronted Woodpecker In Chihuahuan Desert Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Golden-fronted Woodpecker in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to fall about 77% by 2030 — from 0.69 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.16 (95% range 0.00–0.68). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±69.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-77%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.16Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.6895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±69.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Golden-fronted Woodpecker in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to fall about 77% by 2030 — from 0.69 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.16 (95% range 0.00–0.68). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±69.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.190.000.71
20270.180.000.70
20280.170.000.69
20290.170.000.69
20300.160.000.68

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording Golden-fronted Woodpecker in Chihuahuan Desert.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Devils R CynTEXAS102025
ComstockTEXAS62025
Casa PiedraTEXAS32025
LangtryTEXAS32000
Ozona 2TEXAS22025
PumpvilleTEXAS22025
LongfellowTEXAS12025
OzonaTEXAS12022
CastolonTEXAS12025
PresidioTEXAS12012
Ft. StocktonTEXAS12024
MarathonTEXAS12022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.