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Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Golden-fronted Woodpecker In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauForest birds

Golden-fronted Woodpecker in Edwards Plateau has surged: up 274% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+274%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
16Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Golden-fronted Woodpecker has surged in Edwards Plateau: up 274% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Golden-fronted Woodpecker In Edwards Plateau Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Golden-fronted Woodpecker in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 19% by 2030 — from 3.5 in 2025 to a central estimate of 4.2 (95% range 2.5–5.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±48.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+19%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.2Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.5–5.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±48.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Golden-fronted Woodpecker in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 19% by 2030 — from 3.5 in 2025 to a central estimate of 4.2 (95% range 2.5–5.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±48.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20264.02.35.6
20274.02.35.7
20284.12.45.7
20294.12.45.8
20304.22.55.8

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Golden-fronted Woodpecker in Edwards Plateau.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
HarperTEXAS132025
Dripping SpgTEXAS92025
UtopiaTEXAS62025
Valley SpgsTEXAS52025
LeakeyTEXAS52025
MontellTEXAS52025
San SabaTEXAS42025
BoerneTEXAS32025
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS32024
Allen CreekTEXAS32025
FitzhughTEXAS21974
RockspringTEXAS22025
KempnerTEXAS12023
AdamsvilleTEXAS12021
Indian MtnTEXAS12025
LeanderTEXAS12004

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.