Species · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Florida Scrub-Jay

CorvidaeForest birdsAphelocoma coerulescens

Florida Scrub-Jay has collapsed: down 83% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-83%Since 1968
18Routes
58Years Surveyed

About the Florida Scrub-Jay

The Florida Scrub-Jay (Aphelocoma coerulescens) is a North American member of the Crows, Jays & Magpies (Corvidae). In this analysis it is grouped with the forest birds.

Size
10–27.5 in long (25–70 cm) — a medium to large songbird (typical for the family)
Habitat
Woodlands and forest edges, including wooded suburbs and parks.
Diet
Insects and spiders gleaned from foliage and bark, with seeds and berries in season.
Range
Recorded on 18 Breeding Bird Survey routes across 1 state, most concentrated in the Peninsular Florida.
Family
Corvidae · Forest birds

Notable Florida Scrub-Jay Trends

No notable trend signals for Florida Scrub-Jay. See the full index history below.

Florida Scrub-Jay Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Florida Scrub-Jay is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.01). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±146.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.000.0195% range
±146.7%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.000.01
20260.000.000.01
20270.000.000.01
20280.000.000.01
20290.000.000.01

Where the Florida Scrub-Jay Is Detected

BBS routes recording Florida Scrub-Jay, sized by most recent count.

Florida Scrub-Jay Population Trend by State

Florida Scrub-Jay population trend by state.
Florida-76%196818

Florida Scrub-Jay Population Trend by Region

Bird Conservation Regions are the ecological unit for trends.

Florida Scrub-Jay population trend by Bird Conservation Region.
Peninsular Florida-79%196817

Florida Scrub-Jay Conservation Status

Our route-weighted index shows it down about 83% since 1968.

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22. Trend is a route-weighted relative-abundance index, not an absolute population.