BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eastern Wood-Pewee In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesAerial insectivores

Eastern Wood-Pewee in Oaks and Prairies has edged down: down 21% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-21%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
56Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Wood-Pewee in Oaks and Prairies. See the full index history below.

Eastern Wood-Pewee In Oaks and Prairies Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Wood-Pewee in Oaks and Prairies is projected to fall about 24% by 2030 — from 1.0 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.77 (95% range 0.19–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-24%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.77Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.19–1.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±15.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Wood-Pewee in Oaks and Prairies is projected to fall about 24% by 2030 — from 1.0 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.77 (95% range 0.19–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.790.211.4
20270.780.201.4
20280.780.201.4
20290.770.191.3
20300.770.191.3

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Eastern Wood-Pewee in Oaks and Prairies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
HeyburnOKLAHOMA132025
Mill CreekOKLAHOMA122025
BeggsOKLAHOMA62023
HoldenvilleOKLAHOMA52025
BartlesvilleOKLAHOMA42025
SkiatookOKLAHOMA42019
ThorntonTEXAS41984
NobleOKLAHOMA32025
LydiaTEXAS32025
WalburgTEXAS32024
CarlosTEXAS32012
Wills PointTEXAS32016
DecaturTEXAS32024
ArdmoreOKLAHOMA22025
ChoctawOKLAHOMA22021
TatumsOKLAHOMA22025
Peach CreekTEXAS21989
FanninTEXAS22009
Mount ZionTEXAS22010
PaigeTEXAS22015
BarnsdallOKLAHOMA11977
DuncanOKLAHOMA12025
SchroederTEXAS11996
HobsonTEXAS11999
CampbelltonTEXAS11972

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.