BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Towhee In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaGeneralists

Eastern Towhee in Peninsular Florida has fallen sharply: down 66% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-66%Since 1968
75Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Eastern Towhee has fallen sharply in Peninsular Florida: down 66% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 34% by 2029 — from 12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.9 (95% range 0.00–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±24.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-34%Change by 2029
7.9Projected 2029 index
0.00–1695% range
±24.6%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20259.81.318
20269.30.8218
20278.80.3417
20288.40.0017
20297.90.0016

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Eastern Towhee in Peninsular Florida.
OcalaFLORIDA1162024
AlturasFLORIDA981986
GardnerFLORIDA651999
Babcock RnchFLORIDA591990
ChassahowitzFLORIDA592024
CitrusFLORIDA572024
GoetheFLORIDA492024
SalvistaFLORIDA391979
BrowardFLORIDA321973
ChildsFLORIDA282022
ArbuckleFLORIDA282019
PinelandsFLORIDA252024
Island GroveFLORIDA222024
WebbFLORIDA202024
Myakka HeadFLORIDA192011
MicanopyFLORIDA171991
PalmdaleFLORIDA172023
Merritt IslFLORIDA172011
BelmoreFLORIDA142024
ScottsmoorFLORIDA132024
Boca RatonFLORIDA131982
Green SwampFLORIDA112024
MabelFLORIDA102011
ShawanoFLORIDA102002
Lake BuffumFLORIDA102024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.