BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Towhee In Piedmont

All regionsPiedmontGeneralists

Eastern Towhee in Piedmont has declined: down 47% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-47%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
170Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Towhee in Piedmont. See the full index history below.

Eastern Towhee In Piedmont Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in Piedmont is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 11 (95% range 6.7–14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+10%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
11Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
6.7–1495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in Piedmont is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 11 (95% range 6.7–14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025117.115
2026117.015
2027116.914
2028116.814
2029116.714

Routes In Piedmont

Routes recording Eastern Towhee in Piedmont.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Nixburg 2ALABAMA442024
Liberty CityALABAMA402011
Salem XrdSOUTH-CAROLINA402019
HebronGEORGIA392022
Little MtnSOUTH-CAROLINA371988
HiramGEORGIA362018
Kite LakeGEORGIA352023
StockbridgeGEORGIA342023
MooresvilleNORTH-CAROLINA332001
Curry HillGEORGIA322019
Sunny SideGEORGIA322019
HollonvilleGEORGIA292003
Stoney PointGEORGIA292007
Piedmont NwrGEORGIA292003
AndersonSOUTH-CAROLINA282018
WedoweeALABAMA272023
PendletonSOUTH-CAROLINA271976
Lincolnton 2GEORGIA262024
WoodstockGEORGIA262021
Carrs StationGEORGIA252024
Liberty City 2ALABAMA242024
OlneyMARYLAND242024
Yates CrossroadsGEORGIA222024
CandlerGEORGIA222024
Sharon 2GEORGIA222024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.