BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eastern Towhee In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainForest birds

Eastern Towhee in Southeastern Coastal Plain has declined: down 40% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-40%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
345Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Towhee in Southeastern Coastal Plain. See the full index history below.

Eastern Towhee In Southeastern Coastal Plain Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 18 (95% range 13–23). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34.2%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+9%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
18Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
13–2395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±34.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 18 (95% range 13–23). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34.2%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026191324
2027181324
2028181323
2029181323
2030181323

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Eastern Towhee in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
NeedmoreGEORGIA1291983
Broad BranchFLORIDA1032025
LovedaleFLORIDA832011
BlountstownFLORIDA662025
GlenmoreGEORGIA642025
New HopeFLORIDA592011
Seminole HlsFLORIDA572000
DibervilleMISSISSIPPI571987
BettsFLORIDA562025
NixonFLORIDA521986
WeberGEORGIA512025
HilliardFLORIDA482025
DouglasGEORGIA451984
WorkmoreGEORGIA442025
Amite RiverMISSISSIPPI442013
FontainbleauMISSISSIPPI431978
Green SwampNORTH-CAROLINA432006
BlackwaterFLORIDA422025
Leaf RiverMISSISSIPPI422013
Thornton RoadGEORGIA412025
MashoesNORTH-CAROLINA411982
BloxhamFLORIDA402025
OlusteeFLORIDA402025
LacrossGEORGIA402025
WashingtonNORTH-CAROLINA392025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.