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Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Phoebe In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauAerial insectivores

Eastern Phoebe in Edwards Plateau has declined: down 39% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-39%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
20Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Phoebe in Edwards Plateau. See the full index history below.

Eastern Phoebe In Edwards Plateau Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 116% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.8 (95% range 1.2–6.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±472.6%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+116%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.8Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.2–6.495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±472.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 116% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.8 (95% range 1.2–6.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±472.6%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20253.71.16.3
20263.71.26.3
20273.81.26.3
20283.81.26.3
20293.81.26.4

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Eastern Phoebe in Edwards Plateau.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
BoerneTEXAS52019
PidcokeTEXAS52017
Pidcoke 2TEXAS52024
MontellTEXAS52024
UtopiaTEXAS42024
HarperTEXAS42024
Dripping SpgTEXAS32024
LeanderTEXAS32006
GeorgetownTEXAS21980
AdamsvilleTEXAS22024
LeakeyTEXAS22023
Allen CreekTEXAS22024
FitzhughTEXAS11983
Valley SpgsTEXAS12021
San SabaTEXAS12019
KempnerTEXAS12024
Indian MtnTEXAS12022
ManorTEXAS12024
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS12024
RockspringTEXAS12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.