BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eastern Phoebe In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauAerial insectivores

Eastern Phoebe in Edwards Plateau has held roughly steady: down 2% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-2%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
21Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Phoebe in Edwards Plateau. See the full index history below.

Eastern Phoebe In Edwards Plateau Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 64% by 2030 — from 2.3 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.7 (95% range 1.1–6.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±473%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+64%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.7Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.1–6.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±473%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 64% by 2030 — from 2.3 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.7 (95% range 1.1–6.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±473%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20263.61.16.2
20273.61.16.2
20283.71.16.2
20293.71.16.3
20303.71.16.3

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Eastern Phoebe in Edwards Plateau.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
PidcokeTEXAS52017
AdamsvilleTEXAS52025
Pidcoke 2TEXAS52025
Dripping SpgTEXAS42025
Manor 2TEXAS42025
HarperTEXAS32025
KempnerTEXAS32025
LeanderTEXAS32006
LeakeyTEXAS32025
BoerneTEXAS22025
UtopiaTEXAS22025
GeorgetownTEXAS21980
MontellTEXAS22025
Allen CreekTEXAS22025
FitzhughTEXAS11983
Valley SpgsTEXAS12021
San SabaTEXAS12019
Indian MtnTEXAS12022
ManorTEXAS12024
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS12025
RockspringTEXAS12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.