BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Phoebe In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieAerial insectivores

Eastern Phoebe in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has surged: up 217% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+217%Since 1969
110Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Eastern Phoebe has surged in Central Mixed Grass Prairie: up 217% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to rise about 49% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.2 (95% range 1.5–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±46.3%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+49%Change by 2029
2.2Projected 2029 index
1.5–3.095% range
±46.3%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.11.32.9
20262.11.42.9
20272.21.42.9
20282.21.43.0
20292.21.53.0

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording Eastern Phoebe in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
WellingtonKANSAS102024
VerdenOKLAHOMA102017
DaltonKANSAS92024
CashionOKLAHOMA92024
Wichita MtnsOKLAHOMA81994
CookietownOKLAHOMA72006
ErickOKLAHOMA72024
Beloit 2KANSAS62018
BradyNEBRASKA62024
GrimesOKLAHOMA62024
JetOKLAHOMA62024
Ft Sill WestOKLAHOMA61994
Ft Sill EastOKLAHOMA61994
HanoverKANSAS52023
CovertKANSAS52024
BerwetKANSAS52024
LibertyNEBRASKA52003
SicklesOKLAHOMA52021
HunterOKLAHOMA52018
ColonyOKLAHOMA51995
BuckeyeKANSAS42023
DouglasOKLAHOMA42022
WakitaOKLAHOMA42015
SilverTEXAS42024
Beaver CreekTEXAS42024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.