BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Kingbird In Gulf Coastal Prairie

All regionsGulf Coastal PrairieAerial insectivores

Eastern Kingbird in Gulf Coastal Prairie has fallen sharply: down 75% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-75%Since 1969
43Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Eastern Kingbird has fallen sharply in Gulf Coastal Prairie: down 75% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to rise about 120% by 2029 — from 1.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.8 (95% range 0.00–9.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±209.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+120%Change by 2029
3.8Projected 2029 index
0.00–9.195% range
±209.9%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.00.009.3
20264.00.009.3
20273.90.009.2
20283.80.009.2
20293.80.009.1

Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie

Routes recording Eastern Kingbird in Gulf Coastal Prairie.
Ltl Chenier 2LOUISIANA412011
Sabine Nwr 2LOUISIANA262017
Forked Island 2LOUISIANA242011
Sabine NwrLOUISIANA142008
Ltl ChenierLOUISIANA132024
CreoleLOUISIANA121987
Forked IslandLOUISIANA112024
JuniorLOUISIANA71991
WoodlawnLOUISIANA72021
StowellTEXAS62022
Grand IsleLOUISIANA42018
WinnieTEXAS42024
BaysideTEXAS41996
EstherLOUISIANA32024
KaplanLOUISIANA32023
Hackberry 2LOUISIANA32021
Vinton 2LOUISIANA32024
VanderbiltTEXAS31969
San PedroTEXAS32023
Moon Lake 2TEXAS32023
McfaddinTEXAS32013
MamouLOUISIANA21982
HackberryLOUISIANA22014
MauriceLOUISIANA22022
Ville PlatteLOUISIANA22018

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.