BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Kingbird In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaAerial insectivores

Eastern Kingbird in Peninsular Florida has collapsed: down 92% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-92%Since 1968
61Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Eastern Kingbird has collapsed in Peninsular Florida: down 92% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.53 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–1.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±431.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.095% range
±431.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.001.0
20260.000.001.0
20270.000.001.0
20280.000.001.0
20290.000.001.0

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Eastern Kingbird in Peninsular Florida.
Holey LandFLORIDA82024
AndytownFLORIDA51998
FlemingtonFLORIDA51999
Sugarloaf KeyFLORIDA52003
RomeoFLORIDA42024
MabelFLORIDA42010
AlturasFLORIDA41986
Plantation KFLORIDA42003
ChildsFLORIDA32005
TamiamiFLORIDA31974
GardnerFLORIDA31995
St LucieFLORIDA31987
Lake BuffumFLORIDA32004
MicanopyFLORIDA21969
Dale MabryFLORIDA21985
St AugustineFLORIDA21986
San AntonioFLORIDA21992
KenansvilleFLORIDA22009
Ft MccoyFLORIDA22002
KissimmeeFLORIDA21999
SebastianFLORIDA21989
ShawanoFLORIDA21988
KendallFLORIDA21990
Devils GardnFLORIDA21995
Mabel 2FLORIDA22019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.