BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Kingbird In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

All regionsNew England / Mid-Atlantic CoastAerial insectivores

Eastern Kingbird in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has fallen sharply: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-55%Since 1968
163Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Eastern Kingbird has fallen sharply in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to fall about 18% by 2029 — from 2.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.7 (95% range 0.91–2.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-18%Change by 2029
1.7Projected 2029 index
0.91–2.595% range
±9%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.91.12.7
20261.91.12.6
20271.81.02.6
20281.80.962.5
20291.70.912.5

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording Eastern Kingbird in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
Bennett MillNEW-JERSEY162000
La PlataMARYLAND142009
WarrenCONNECTICUT132011
JonesMARYLAND131994
VillasNEW-JERSEY131981
DeepwaterNEW-JERSEY121977
Holleyville 2DELAWARE112019
PrincetonMASSACHUSETTS111976
DoverDELAWARE101987
Woodbury HgtNEW-JERSEY102024
PedricktownNEW-JERSEY92012
Casimir Pulaski SfRHODE-ISLAND92018
LargoMARYLAND81981
ElktonMARYLAND82024
HongaMARYLAND82024
E PepperellMASSACHUSETTS81994
BrentwoodNEW-HAMPSHIRE81998
Cape May ChNEW-JERSEY82013
ChilmarkMASSACHUSETTS71983
BelchertownMASSACHUSETTS72024
MysticCONNECTICUT62023
ShermanCONNECTICUT62019
HolleyvilleDELAWARE62004
BeltsvilleMARYLAND62012
HarmonyMARYLAND62017

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.