Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Eastern Kingbird In Oaks and Prairies
Eastern Kingbird in Oaks and Prairies has fallen sharply: down 59% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-59%Since 1969
66Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Eastern Kingbird has fallen sharply in Oaks and Prairies: down 59% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 82% by 2029 — from 0.32 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.58 (95% range 0.00–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±70.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+82%Change by 2029
0.58Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.695% range
±70.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.71 | 0.00 | 1.7 |
| 2026 | 0.68 | 0.00 | 1.7 |
| 2027 | 0.64 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
| 2028 | 0.61 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
| 2029 | 0.58 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
Routes In Oaks and Prairies
| Schroeder | TEXAS | 13 | 1996 |
| Cayuga | TEXAS | 9 | 2022 |
| Mount Zion | TEXAS | 8 | 2010 |
| Skiatook | OKLAHOMA | 7 | 2019 |
| Kosse | TEXAS | 7 | 2017 |
| Muldoon | TEXAS | 5 | 1998 |
| Peach Creek | TEXAS | 5 | 1992 |
| Oakwood | TEXAS | 5 | 1995 |
| Olney | TEXAS | 5 | 2021 |
| Thornton 2 | TEXAS | 5 | 2001 |
| Choctaw | OKLAHOMA | 4 | 2023 |
| Lydia | TEXAS | 4 | 2023 |
| Miller Grove | TEXAS | 4 | 2023 |
| Wolfe City | TEXAS | 4 | 1987 |
| Burton | TEXAS | 4 | 2001 |
| Gambill Ref. | TEXAS | 4 | 2024 |
| Barnsdall | OKLAHOMA | 3 | 1977 |
| Bartlesville | OKLAHOMA | 3 | 2024 |
| Oak Grove | TEXAS | 3 | 1999 |
| Carlos | TEXAS | 3 | 2009 |
| Cleburne | TEXAS | 3 | 1998 |
| Loco | OKLAHOMA | 2 | 1985 |
| Holdenville | OKLAHOMA | 2 | 2023 |
| Noble | OKLAHOMA | 2 | 2023 |
| Heyburn | OKLAHOMA | 2 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.