Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Double-crested Cormorant In Oaks and Prairies
Double-crested Cormorant in Oaks and Prairies has fallen sharply: down 52% on the route-weighted index since 1982.
-52%Since 1982
22Routes In Region
31Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Double-crested Cormorant has fallen sharply in Oaks and Prairies: down 52% on the route-weighted index since 1982.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Double-crested Cormorant in Oaks and Prairies is projected to fall about 36% by 2029 — from 0.11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.07 (95% range 0.00–0.30). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±98.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-36%Change by 2029
0.07Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.3095% range
±98.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| 2026 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| 2027 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| 2028 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| 2029 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.30 |
Routes In Oaks and Prairies
| Yoakum | TEXAS | 4 | 2004 |
| Cayuga | TEXAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Campbellton | TEXAS | 2 | 2004 |
| Massey Lake | TEXAS | 2 | 2023 |
| Kosse | TEXAS | 2 | 2016 |
| Fannin | TEXAS | 2 | 2001 |
| Creedmore | TEXAS | 2 | 2000 |
| Schroeder | TEXAS | 1 | 1982 |
| Muldoon | TEXAS | 1 | 2003 |
| Lone Oak | TEXAS | 1 | 2002 |
| Weatherford | TEXAS | 1 | 2016 |
| Albany | TEXAS | 1 | 2022 |
| Miller Grove | TEXAS | 1 | 2010 |
| Sadler | TEXAS | 1 | 2014 |
| Henrietta | TEXAS | 1 | 2016 |
| Thornton 2 | TEXAS | 1 | 2001 |
| Carlos | TEXAS | 1 | 2024 |
| Blue Ridge | TEXAS | 1 | 2000 |
| Three Rivers | TEXAS | 1 | 2024 |
| Bonner | TEXAS | 1 | 2010 |
| Bruceville | TEXAS | 1 | 2001 |
| Comanche | TEXAS | 1 | 2003 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.