BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Dickcissel In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsGrassland birds

Dickcissel in Central Hardwoods has increased: up 36% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+36%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
153Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Dickcissel in Central Hardwoods. See the full index history below.

Dickcissel In Central Hardwoods Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Dickcissel in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 23% by 2030 — from 9.0 in 2025 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 7.9–14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+23%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
11Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
7.9–1495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±27.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Dickcissel in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 23% by 2030 — from 9.0 in 2025 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 7.9–14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026117.614
2027117.714
2028117.814
2029117.914
2030117.914

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Dickcissel in Central Hardwoods.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
FarwellARKANSAS812018
Brnt PrairieILLINOIS632025
MillerMISSOURI592025
NewberryINDIANA532025
Cole CampMISSOURI531990
BrownvilleILLINOIS452025
ReedsMISSOURI392025
CentertonARKANSAS382025
YorkILLINOIS382025
AkersMISSOURI342025
GraydonMISSOURI302025
LincolnMISSOURI302025
RoyaltonILLINOIS292025
KarnakILLINOIS282025
CentertownMISSOURI262025
ColcordOKLAHOMA242022
DiamondMISSOURI232025
West PlainsMISSOURI232025
PulaskiILLINOIS212025
BoxvilleKENTUCKY211983
SedaliaMISSOURI202025
WashingtonINDIANA192025
Ravenden SpringsARKANSAS172015
CyprssINDIANA162025
HaydenMISSOURI162025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.