BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Dickcissel In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieGrassland birds

Dickcissel in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has increased: up 31% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+31%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
130Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Dickcissel in Central Mixed Grass Prairie. See the full index history below.

Dickcissel In Central Mixed Grass Prairie Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Dickcissel in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 65 (95% range 46–83). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+3%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
65Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
46–8395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±9.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Dickcissel in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 65 (95% range 46–83). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026634481
2027634582
2028644582
2029644683
2030654683

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording Dickcissel in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
CovertKANSAS3042025
BerwetKANSAS2892025
KanopolisKANSAS2692025
Ash ValleyKANSAS2302019
GrayKANSAS1792019
WakitaOKLAHOMA1552016
DaltonKANSAS1502025
Ft Sill EastOKLAHOMA1481994
ChapmanKANSAS1461981
MinneapolisKANSAS1442019
CharlieTEXAS1352025
SolomonKANSAS1342025
BelvidereNEBRASKA1272025
BerwynNEBRASKA1262010
MisslerKANSAS1222019
LookoutOKLAHOMA1222025
St JohnKANSAS1212019
SurpriseNEBRASKA1212025
SusankKANSAS1162022
Ft Sill WestOKLAHOMA1151994
CoopertonOKLAHOMA1142025
ColonyOKLAHOMA1131995
CoatsKANSAS1062025
BeloitKANSAS1032003
HamptonNEBRASKA1012025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.