BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Dickcissel In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieGrassland birds

Dickcissel in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has edged up: up 23% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+23%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
129Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Dickcissel in Central Mixed Grass Prairie. See the full index history below.

Dickcissel In Central Mixed Grass Prairie Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Dickcissel in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 64 (95% range 46–83). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+10%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
64Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
46–8395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±11.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Dickcissel in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 64 (95% range 46–83). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025624481
2026634481
2027634582
2028644582
2029644683

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording Dickcissel in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
BerwetKANSAS2552024
Ash ValleyKANSAS2302019
KanopolisKANSAS2282024
GrayKANSAS1792019
SolomonKANSAS1782019
BrownleeNEBRASKA1782024
SumnerNEBRASKA1562024
WakitaOKLAHOMA1552016
CovertKANSAS1532024
Ft Sill EastOKLAHOMA1481994
ChapmanKANSAS1461981
MinneapolisKANSAS1442019
HamptonNEBRASKA1332024
BerwynNEBRASKA1262010
MisslerKANSAS1222019
St JohnKANSAS1212019
DaltonKANSAS1182024
SusankKANSAS1162022
PhrosoOKLAHOMA1152024
Ft Sill WestOKLAHOMA1151994
BradyNEBRASKA1142024
ColonyOKLAHOMA1131995
AlbertKANSAS1032024
BeloitKANSAS1032003
CashionOKLAHOMA1012024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.