BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Crested Caracara Population Trend in Texas

All statesGeneralists

Crested Caracara in Texas has surged: up 634% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+634%Since 1969
125Routes In State
57Years

Notable Crested Caracara Trends in Texas

long arc increasecomputed index

Crested Caracara has surged in Texas: up 634% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Crested Caracara Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Crested Caracara in Texas is projected to rise about 53% by 2029 — from 1.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.0 (95% range 1.5–2.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+53%Change by 2029
2.0Projected 2029 index
1.5–2.595% range
±18.5%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.91.32.4
20261.91.42.4
20271.91.42.5
20282.01.42.5
20292.01.52.5

Crested Caracara Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Crested Caracara in Texas.
Petronila3420221999
La Pryor2220102001
Agua Nueva1720231969
Katy1220242004
Oyster Lake1220241997
Millett 21220242013
Chinquapin1120241995
Brite1120241994
Mirando City1020241970
Randado920241967
Encinal 2920242011
Guerra820231988
Pedro Creek820051998
George West720241967
Harper620232012
Catarina 2620172011
Progreso620082003
Loyola Beach 2620232010
Cavasara Cr.620231995
Schroeder519971969
Muldoon520241987
Sejita520241994
Laredo520231994
Bonner520222006
Heidelberg520242014

Crested Caracara Population Trend in Other States

arizonafloridalouisiana

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.