BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Crested Caracara In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauGeneralists

Crested Caracara in Edwards Plateau has surged: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 1996.

13×Since 1996
17Routes In Region
30Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Crested Caracara has surged in Edwards Plateau: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 1996.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Crested Caracara in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 71% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 1.2–2.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+71%Change by 2029
1.8Projected 2029 index
1.2–2.595% range
±27.6%Backtest error
19932029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.60.942.3
20261.71.002.3
20271.71.12.4
20281.81.12.4
20291.81.22.5

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Crested Caracara in Edwards Plateau.
HarperTEXAS62023
BoerneTEXAS32024
ManorTEXAS32024
LeakeyTEXAS32023
UtopiaTEXAS22024
Indian MtnTEXAS22019
MontellTEXAS22022
RockspringTEXAS22024
Valley SpgsTEXAS12024
San SabaTEXAS12024
PidcokeTEXAS12017
KempnerTEXAS12024
AdamsvilleTEXAS12023
Dripping SpgTEXAS12024
Pidcoke 2TEXAS12024
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS12024
Allen CreekTEXAS12024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.