Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Common Nighthawk In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas
Common Nighthawk in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has collapsed: down 84% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-84%Since 1969
70Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Common Nighthawk has collapsed in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: down 84% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Common Nighthawk in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.48). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±64.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.4895% range
±64.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.48 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.48 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.48 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.48 |
Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas
| Town Bluff | TEXAS | 14 | 1990 |
| Athens | TEXAS | 8 | 2016 |
| Ashdown | ARKANSAS | 6 | 2013 |
| Diboll | TEXAS | 5 | 2024 |
| Stark | ARKANSAS | 4 | 1970 |
| Poyen | ARKANSAS | 2 | 1986 |
| Coal Hill | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2021 |
| Derry | LOUISIANA | 2 | 1989 |
| Longstreet | LOUISIANA | 2 | 2022 |
| Fred | TEXAS | 2 | 2023 |
| Union Hill | TEXAS | 2 | 2023 |
| Easton 2 | TEXAS | 2 | 2021 |
| Old Milo | ARKANSAS | 1 | 1996 |
| Locust Bayou | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2016 |
| Stamps | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2022 |
| Hope | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2021 |
| Hollywood | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2007 |
| Massard | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2022 |
| Havana | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2017 |
| Springhill | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2021 |
| Dry Fork | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2018 |
| Magazine Mtn | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2012 |
| Easton | LOUISIANA | 1 | 1990 |
| De Ridder | LOUISIANA | 1 | 2016 |
| Fishville | LOUISIANA | 1 | 1979 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.