BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Common Ground Dove In Chihuahuan Desert

All regionsChihuahuan DesertGeneralists

Common Ground Dove in Chihuahuan Desert has surged: up 101% on the route-weighted index since 1996.

+101%Since 1996
12Routes In Region
25Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Common Ground Dove has surged in Chihuahuan Desert: up 101% on the route-weighted index since 1996.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Common Ground Dove in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to fall about 24% by 2029 — from 0.24 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.18 (95% range 0.00–0.40). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±192.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-24%Change by 2029
0.18Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.4095% range
±192.2%Backtest error
19692029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.170.000.39
20260.180.000.39
20270.180.000.39
20280.180.000.40
20290.180.000.40

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording Common Ground Dove in Chihuahuan Desert.
Devils R CynTEXAS52024
LangtryTEXAS31996
ComstockTEXAS22019
PresidioTEXAS22012
PumpvilleTEXAS22024
RodeoNEW-MEXICO12010
Red RockNEW-MEXICO12023
Hatchet PeakNEW-MEXICO12023
Black GapTEXAS12019
LongfellowTEXAS12022
OzonaTEXAS12019
Chisos BasinTEXAS12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.