BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Common Ground Dove In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaGeneralists

Common Ground Dove in Peninsular Florida has collapsed: down 78% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-78%Since 1968
80Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Common Ground Dove has collapsed in Peninsular Florida: down 78% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Common Ground Dove in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 95% by 2029 — from 4.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.23 (95% range 0.00–5.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±78.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-95%Change by 2029
0.23Projected 2029 index
0.00–5.595% range
±78.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.00.006.3
20260.810.006.1
20270.620.005.9
20280.420.005.7
20290.230.005.5

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Common Ground Dove in Peninsular Florida.
St LucieFLORIDA182024
Devils GardnFLORIDA182024
KendallFLORIDA141991
Myakka HeadFLORIDA132011
AlturasFLORIDA131986
Holey LandFLORIDA132024
SandyFLORIDA112014
WebbFLORIDA112024
RomeoFLORIDA102024
GardnerFLORIDA101999
ClewistonFLORIDA102023
KenansvilleFLORIDA82024
ShawanoFLORIDA82002
CitrusFLORIDA82024
San AntonioFLORIDA72024
Ridge HarborFLORIDA72024
Dupuis W.E.AFLORIDA72024
ScottsmoorFLORIDA62024
AlvaFLORIDA62017
Lake BuffumFLORIDA62024
NobletonFLORIDA52024
SebastianFLORIDA51992
Punta GordaFLORIDA52014
CrewsvilleFLORIDA52024
Card SoundFLORIDA52018

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.