Species · Alaska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Common Goldeneye Population Trend in Alaska
Common Goldeneye in Alaska has edged down: down 21% on the route-weighted index since 1986.
-21%Since 1986
47Routes In State
40Years
Notable Common Goldeneye Trends in Alaska
No notable trend signals for Common Goldeneye in Alaska. See the full index history below.
Common Goldeneye Population Forecast in Alaska
If the recent trend holds, Common Goldeneye in Alaska is projected to fall about 47% by 2029 — from 0.95 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.51 (95% range 0.00–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±63.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-47%Change by 2029
0.51Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.495% range
±63.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.51 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2026 | 0.51 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2027 | 0.51 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2028 | 0.51 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 0.51 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
Common Goldeneye Survey Routes in Alaska
| Mud River | 18 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Anvik River | 16 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Yakutat | 11 | 2004 | 2000 |
| Unalakleet River | 10 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Nicholai Sl | 8 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Togiak River | 7 | 2005 | 2000 |
| Cape Nome | 6 | 2012 | 1997 |
| Gweek River | 6 | 2002 | 1994 |
| Birch Lake | 5 | 2018 | 2000 |
| Cordova | 5 | 2021 | 1994 |
| Kanuti Canyn | 4 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Cottonwood | 4 | 1990 | 1989 |
| Chistochina | 3 | 2022 | 1991 |
| Donelly Dome | 3 | 2024 | 2007 |
| Dillingham | 3 | 2010 | 2001 |
| Kanektok Riv | 3 | 2004 | 1995 |
| Bear Creek | 3 | 1991 | 1986 |
| Nabesna Road | 2 | 2010 | 2010 |
| Hather Creek | 2 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Porcupine R. | 2 | 1993 | 1993 |
| Ft. Richrdsn | 2 | 1997 | 1997 |
| Thompson Pas | 2 | 2014 | 2002 |
| Kachemak | 2 | 2023 | 2005 |
| Cohoe | 2 | 2016 | 2016 |
| Circle | 1 | 2024 | 2022 |
Common Goldeneye Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.