BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Chuck-will's-widow In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieAerial insectivores

Chuck-will's-widow in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has surged: up 95% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+95%Since 1970
29Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Chuck-will's-widow has surged in Central Mixed Grass Prairie: up 95% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Chuck-will's-widow in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to rise about 158% by 2029 — from 0.18 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.46 (95% range 0.24–0.68). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±92.2%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+158%Change by 2029
0.46Projected 2029 index
0.24–0.6895% range
±92.2%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.440.220.66
20260.450.220.67
20270.450.230.67
20280.460.230.68
20290.460.240.68

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording Chuck-will's-widow in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
SicklesOKLAHOMA102021
Ft Sill WestOKLAHOMA91994
ColonyOKLAHOMA81995
ChesterOKLAHOMA71988
Wichita MtnsOKLAHOMA71994
ErickOKLAHOMA62019
Wichita Mts WestOKLAHOMA62022
PhrosoOKLAHOMA52024
Wichita Mtns EastOKLAHOMA52022
ChapmanKANSAS21981
VerdenOKLAHOMA22017
GrimesOKLAHOMA22024
BeaverOKLAHOMA21983
WoodwardOKLAHOMA22024
WinchellTEXAS22024
ColdwaterKANSAS12014
BuckeyeKANSAS12015
SolomonKANSAS12017
BerwetKANSAS12018
Liberty 3NEBRASKA12024
ReedOKLAHOMA12002
Eagle CityOKLAHOMA12010
DouglasOKLAHOMA12010
TegardenOKLAHOMA12002
LookoutOKLAHOMA11973

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.