BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Carolina Wren In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

All regionsEastern Tallgrass PrairieForest birds

Carolina Wren in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has surged: up 129% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+129%Since 1968
227Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Carolina Wren has surged in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie: up 129% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Carolina Wren in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 3.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.9 (95% range 1.5–4.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-16%Change by 2029
2.9Projected 2029 index
1.5–4.395% range
±41.3%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.71.34.1
20262.81.44.2
20272.81.44.2
20282.91.44.3
20292.91.54.3

Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

Routes recording Carolina Wren in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie.
Harveysburg 2OHIO272024
Ash RidgeOHIO242021
FriendswoodINDIANA232024
MoselleMISSOURI222024
BelleviewILLINOIS182024
EldredILLINOIS172019
MelroseKANSAS172023
DarrtownOHIO172021
KearneyMISSOURI162024
BradburyILLINOIS142024
Mt VernonILLINOIS142024
BrookvilleINDIANA142024
WallaceINDIANA142024
KingsvilleMISSOURI142024
Marion 2OHIO142024
KeetonvilleOKLAHOMA142022
Trading PostKANSAS132024
House SpringsMISSOURI132024
West ElktonOHIO132012
Mascoutah LkILLINOIS122024
GalesburgKANSAS122024
ReeceKANSAS122024
St MorganILLINOIS112022
MonticelloINDIANA112024
Witts StationINDIANA112024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.