BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Carolina Chickadee In Gulf Coastal Prairie

All regionsGulf Coastal PrairieForest birds

Carolina Chickadee in Gulf Coastal Prairie has surged: up 186% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+186%Since 1969
33Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Carolina Chickadee has surged in Gulf Coastal Prairie: up 186% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Carolina Chickadee in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to fall about 26% by 2029 — from 6.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.8 (95% range 0.00–10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-26%Change by 2029
4.8Projected 2029 index
0.00–1095% range
±31.4%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.70.0010
20264.70.0010
20274.80.0010
20284.80.0010
20294.80.0010

Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie

Routes recording Carolina Chickadee in Gulf Coastal Prairie.
Moon Lake 2TEXAS442024
JuniorLOUISIANA361991
LafitteLOUISIANA311991
Vinton 2LOUISIANA232024
Hinkles FerTEXAS182024
Moon LakeTEXAS162011
DanburyTEXAS132024
VintonLOUISIANA112009
GlencoeLOUISIANA92017
Forked Island 2LOUISIANA92011
McfaddinTEXAS92016
Port AcresTEXAS82024
EstherLOUISIANA72024
Ville PlatteLOUISIANA72019
RichardLOUISIANA62024
VanderbiltTEXAS51974
Goliad PrairieTEXAS52015
MauriceLOUISIANA42024
KatyTEXAS42024
Hackberry 2LOUISIANA32024
Rock IslandTEXAS32024
KaplanLOUISIANA22023
WoodlawnLOUISIANA22021
WinnieTEXAS22024
StowellTEXAS22011

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.