Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Carolina Chickadee In Piedmont
Carolina Chickadee in Piedmont has surged: up 92% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+92%Since 1968
167Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Carolina Chickadee has surged in Piedmont: up 92% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Carolina Chickadee in Piedmont is projected to rise about 15% by 2029 — from 11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 13 (95% range 10.0–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+15%Change by 2029
13Projected 2029 index
10.0–1695% range
±20.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12 | 9.6 | 15 |
| 2026 | 12 | 9.7 | 15 |
| 2027 | 13 | 9.8 | 15 |
| 2028 | 13 | 9.9 | 15 |
| 2029 | 13 | 10.0 | 16 |
Routes In Piedmont
| Salem Xrd | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 98 | 2019 |
| Wheaton | MARYLAND | 51 | 2024 |
| Eden | NORTH-CAROLINA | 38 | 2024 |
| Ijamsville | MARYLAND | 37 | 2024 |
| Fairplay | GEORGIA | 34 | 1991 |
| Rutledge | GEORGIA | 32 | 2024 |
| Earlton | MARYLAND | 32 | 2024 |
| Little Mtn | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 32 | 1988 |
| Olney | MARYLAND | 29 | 2024 |
| Maxeys | GEORGIA | 28 | 2024 |
| Durham | NORTH-CAROLINA | 26 | 2024 |
| Partlow | VIRGINIA | 26 | 2015 |
| Irisburg | VIRGINIA | 26 | 2024 |
| Madonna | MARYLAND | 25 | 2022 |
| Wilgrove | NORTH-CAROLINA | 25 | 2024 |
| Hiram | GEORGIA | 23 | 2018 |
| Salem | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 23 | 2024 |
| Grovetown | GEORGIA | 22 | 2021 |
| Mooresville | NORTH-CAROLINA | 22 | 2001 |
| Uwharrie Nf | NORTH-CAROLINA | 22 | 2001 |
| Campobello | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 22 | 2024 |
| Hollonville | GEORGIA | 21 | 2003 |
| Whitesburg | GEORGIA | 21 | 2024 |
| Silver Spg | MARYLAND | 21 | 1989 |
| Eklo | MARYLAND | 21 | 2018 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.