BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Carolina Chickadee In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesForest birds

Carolina Chickadee in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 132% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+132%Since 1969
73Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Carolina Chickadee has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 132% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Carolina Chickadee in Oaks and Prairies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 14 (95% range 9.5–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+9%Change by 2029
14Projected 2029 index
9.5–1995% range
±18.3%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025149.019
2026149.119
2027149.319
2028149.419
2029149.519

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Carolina Chickadee in Oaks and Prairies.
HeyburnOKLAHOMA432024
SchroederTEXAS361997
TatumsOKLAHOMA352024
BurtonTEXAS352024
MuldoonTEXAS292024
YoakumTEXAS252024
OakwoodTEXAS241995
DallasTEXAS222024
Oak Grove 2TEXAS222024
PaigeTEXAS222024
ChoctawOKLAHOMA212023
Thornton 2TEXAS212010
CarlosTEXAS212024
NobleOKLAHOMA202024
Thornton 3TEXAS202024
CayugaTEXAS192024
Miller GroveTEXAS182024
SadlerTEXAS182024
Wills PointTEXAS182023
HoldenvilleOKLAHOMA162024
BeggsOKLAHOMA162023
WeatherfordTEXAS152024
College StnTEXAS151990
GreenvilleTEXAS152024
DuncanOKLAHOMA132024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.