Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Carolina Chickadee In Edwards Plateau

Carolina Chickadee in Edwards Plateau has surged: up 83% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+83%Since 1969
19Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Carolina Chickadee has surged in Edwards Plateau: up 83% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Carolina Chickadee in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 21% by 2029 — from 5.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.1 (95% range 3.4–8.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±55%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+21%Change by 2029
6.1Projected 2029 index
3.48.995% range
±55%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20255.93.18.6
20265.93.28.7
20276.03.38.7
20286.13.38.8
20296.13.48.9

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Carolina Chickadee in Edwards Plateau.
Dripping SpgTEXAS232024
Pidcoke 2TEXAS142024
AdamsvilleTEXAS92024
Valley SpgsTEXAS72024
ManorTEXAS72024
LeanderTEXAS72006
UtopiaTEXAS62024
San SabaTEXAS52024
FitzhughTEXAS41983
KempnerTEXAS32024
BoerneTEXAS22024
HarperTEXAS22024
MontellTEXAS22018
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS22024
GeorgetownTEXAS11974
PidcokeTEXAS12017
Indian MtnTEXAS11989
LeakeyTEXAS12024
Allen CreekTEXAS12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.