BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Carolina Chickadee In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieForest birds

Carolina Chickadee in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has surged: up 134% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+134%Since 1969
48Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Carolina Chickadee has surged in Central Mixed Grass Prairie: up 134% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Carolina Chickadee in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to fall about 20% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 0.68–2.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±50.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-20%Change by 2029
1.5Projected 2029 index
0.68–2.295% range
±50.1%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.40.632.2
20261.40.642.2
20271.40.662.2
20281.40.672.2
20291.50.682.2

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording Carolina Chickadee in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
DaltonKANSAS222024
HawleyTEXAS192024
CashionOKLAHOMA182024
VerdenOKLAHOMA162017
Ft Sill WestOKLAHOMA161994
Wichita MtnsOKLAHOMA151994
BuckeyeKANSAS131992
HunterOKLAHOMA132024
JetOKLAHOMA122024
WellingtonKANSAS92024
DouglasOKLAHOMA92022
Ft Sill EastOKLAHOMA91994
GrimesOKLAHOMA72024
ColonyOKLAHOMA71995
CookietownOKLAHOMA52006
ErickOKLAHOMA52024
Wichita Mtns EastOKLAHOMA52022
Wichita Mts WestOKLAHOMA52022
Shields 2TEXAS52023
WoodwardOKLAHOMA42024
AshlandKANSAS31987
Eagle CityOKLAHOMA32010
WakitaOKLAHOMA32000
ChesterOKLAHOMA31988
TegardenOKLAHOMA32016

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.