Species · Wisconsin · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Cape May Warbler Population Trend in Wisconsin
Cape May Warbler in Wisconsin has surged: up 342% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
+342%Since 1974
23Routes In State
50Years
Notable Cape May Warbler Trends in Wisconsin
long arc increasecomputed index
Cape May Warbler has surged in Wisconsin: up 342% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
Cape May Warbler Population Forecast in Wisconsin
If the recent trend holds, Cape May Warbler in Wisconsin is projected to rise about 29% by 2029 — from 0.06 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.08 (95% range 0.00–0.16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±38.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+29%Change by 2029
0.08Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1695% range
±38.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| 2026 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.16 |
| 2027 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.16 |
| 2028 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.16 |
| 2029 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.16 |
Cape May Warbler Survey Routes in Wisconsin
| Eagle River | 6 | 2022 | 1975 |
| Shanagolden | 4 | 2022 | 1975 |
| Land O Lakes | 4 | 2016 | 1981 |
| Popple River | 3 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Minong | 2 | 1997 | 1971 |
| Montreal | 2 | 1987 | 1979 |
| Chaffey | 1 | 1997 | 1996 |
| Iron River | 1 | 2018 | 2005 |
| Grand View | 1 | 2010 | 1974 |
| Bayfield | 1 | 1987 | 1971 |
| Cumberland | 1 | 1998 | 1998 |
| Couderay | 1 | 1984 | 1984 |
| Phillips | 1 | 2007 | 1988 |
| Merrill | 1 | 1991 | 1990 |
| Mcnaughton | 1 | 2022 | 2008 |
| Crandon | 1 | 2006 | 1976 |
| Amberg | 1 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Wausaukee | 1 | 2019 | 2019 |
| Stevens Pt | 1 | 2016 | 2016 |
| Oconto Falls | 1 | 2016 | 2016 |
| Rhinelander | 1 | 2023 | 2009 |
| Cavour | 1 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Land O' Lakes 2 | 1 | 2023 | 2019 |
Cape May Warbler Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.