BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Canyon Towhee In Chihuahuan Desert

All regionsChihuahuan DesertGeneralists

Canyon Towhee in Chihuahuan Desert has fallen sharply: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-65%Since 1969
50Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Canyon Towhee has fallen sharply in Chihuahuan Desert: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Canyon Towhee in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to fall about 32% by 2029 — from 2.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 0.00–4.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±69.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-32%Change by 2029
1.5Projected 2029 index
0.00–4.495% range
±69.7%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.70.004.6
20261.70.004.6
20271.60.004.5
20281.60.004.5
20291.50.004.4

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording Canyon Towhee in Chihuahuan Desert.
ValentineTEXAS261987
Bear MtnTEXAS232024
PumpvilleTEXAS162024
Devils R CynTEXAS112024
Ft. DavisTEXAS92023
Capitan Mtn.NEW-MEXICO62017
ComstockTEXAS62023
ToyahvaleTEXAS52024
Chisos BasinTEXAS52023
CarrizozoNEW-MEXICO42024
LangtryTEXAS42000
San AntonioNEW-MEXICO31974
RoswellNEW-MEXICO32023
CloudcroftNEW-MEXICO31977
QueenNEW-MEXICO32021
AltudaTEXAS32016
Dove Mtn.TEXAS32004
DemingNEW-MEXICO21971
Black GapTEXAS22023
LongfellowTEXAS22023
OzonaTEXAS22022
Casa PiedraTEXAS22019
GageNEW-MEXICO12019
JornadaNEW-MEXICO11981
LakewoodNEW-MEXICO12017

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.