BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

California Towhee In Northern Pacific Rainforest

All regionsNorthern Pacific RainforestGeneralists

California Towhee in Northern Pacific Rainforest has collapsed: down 82% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-82%Since 1970
31Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

California Towhee has collapsed in Northern Pacific Rainforest: down 82% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, California Towhee in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to rise about 72% by 2029 — from 0.12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.21 (95% range 0.00–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±91%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+72%Change by 2029
0.21Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.295% range
±91%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.320.001.3
20260.290.001.2
20270.260.001.2
20280.230.001.2
20290.210.001.2

Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest

Routes recording California Towhee in Northern Pacific Rainforest.
AlderpointCALIFORNIA192012
LongvaleCALIFORNIA162023
HoneydewCALIFORNIA152017
Shasta LakeCALIFORNIA92012
UkiahCALIFORNIA82011
HullvilleCALIFORNIA62019
NavarroCALIFORNIA52009
French GulchCALIFORNIA52007
Emigrant Lake 2OREGON52024
LaytonvilleCALIFORNIA32024
Junction CtyCALIFORNIA22012
MccloudCALIFORNIA22006
Bodega BayCALIFORNIA22021
YrekaCALIFORNIA22018
DirigioCALIFORNIA22014
Hay ForkCALIFORNIA22017
DerbyOREGON21993
Horse CreekCALIFORNIA11973
HolmesCALIFORNIA12024
Fish RockCALIFORNIA12014
Rio DellCALIFORNIA11996
OrleansCALIFORNIA11975
Mt ShastaCALIFORNIA12015
KorbelCALIFORNIA11981
Burnt RanchCALIFORNIA12016

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.