Species · Oregon · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
California Scrub-Jay Population Trend in Oregon
California Scrub-Jay in Oregon has risen sharply: up 51% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+51%Since 1970
43Routes In State
56Years
Notable California Scrub-Jay Trends in Oregon
long arc increasecomputed index
California Scrub-Jay has risen sharply in Oregon: up 51% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
California Scrub-Jay Population Forecast in Oregon
If the recent trend holds, California Scrub-Jay in Oregon is projected to rise about 19% by 2029 — from 2.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.5 (95% range 1.6–3.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+19%Change by 2029
2.5Projected 2029 index
1.6–3.495% range
±8.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 3.4 |
| 2026 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 3.4 |
| 2027 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 3.4 |
| 2028 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 3.4 |
| 2029 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3.4 |
California Scrub-Jay Survey Routes in Oregon
| Emigrant Lk | 23 | 2001 | 1972 |
| Garfield | 22 | 2023 | 1973 |
| Derby | 19 | 1993 | 1968 |
| Canby | 19 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Dayton | 18 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Adair | 17 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Salem | 17 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Green | 15 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Umpqua | 14 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Emigrant Lake 2 | 14 | 2024 | 2002 |
| Mcminnville | 14 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Elkton | 12 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Scio | 10 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Mt Hood | 10 | 2024 | 1976 |
| Scappoose | 9 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Modoc Point | 8 | 2018 | 1971 |
| Ruch | 8 | 2023 | 1992 |
| Tualatin | 7 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Sams Valley | 7 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Wedderburn | 6 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Barnes Val | 6 | 1972 | 1972 |
| Deschutes | 4 | 2024 | 2004 |
| Days Creek | 4 | 2023 | 1970 |
| Secret Val | 4 | 2022 | 1975 |
| Modoc Point 2 | 3 | 2024 | 2024 |
California Scrub-Jay Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.