BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cactus Wren In Chihuahuan Desert

All regionsChihuahuan DesertArid-land birds

Cactus Wren in Chihuahuan Desert has declined: down 46% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-46%Since 1969
52Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Cactus Wren in Chihuahuan Desert. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cactus Wren in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 8.9 (95% range 0.43–17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-8%Change by 2029
8.9Projected 2029 index
0.43–1795% range
±18.3%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20259.51.018
20269.40.8818
20279.20.7318
20289.10.5818
20298.90.4317

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording Cactus Wren in Chihuahuan Desert.
Ft. DavisTEXAS452023
Black GapTEXAS322023
PumpvilleTEXAS322024
Hatchet PeakNEW-MEXICO292024
Hot SpringsTEXAS282024
Red RockNEW-MEXICO252024
CastolonTEXAS252024
ShafterTEXAS221985
Chisos BasinTEXAS222024
Bear MtnTEXAS212024
GageNEW-MEXICO192024
ValentineTEXAS181987
PresidioTEXAS172023
Devils R CynTEXAS162024
DemingNEW-MEXICO151975
MesillaNEW-MEXICO152000
SlaughterTEXAS152021
MarfaTEXAS152024
RodeoNEW-MEXICO132024
LangtryTEXAS132000
Dove Mtn.TEXAS132006
MarathonTEXAS132023
LongfellowTEXAS82024
Sunshine WllNEW-MEXICO72024
CornudasTEXAS72018

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.