BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cactus Wren In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesArid-land birds

Cactus Wren in Oaks and Prairies has fallen sharply: down 59% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-59%Since 1969
11Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Cactus Wren has fallen sharply in Oaks and Prairies: down 59% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cactus Wren in Oaks and Prairies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.25 (95% range 0.00–1.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±177.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-3%Change by 2029
0.25Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.095% range
±177.2%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.270.001.0
20260.260.001.0
20270.260.001.0
20280.250.001.0
20290.250.001.0

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Cactus Wren in Oaks and Prairies.
BriteTEXAS82024
AlbanyTEXAS41997
Three RiversTEXAS42024
LockhartTEXAS22015
Lone OakTEXAS22003
SchroederTEXAS11980
HobsonTEXAS12011
CampbelltonTEXAS12023
CottonwoodTEXAS11986
OlneyTEXAS11997
MegargelTEXAS11997

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.