BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cactus Wren In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauArid-land birds

Cactus Wren in Edwards Plateau has fallen sharply: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

-63%Since 1971
12Routes In Region
54Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Cactus Wren has fallen sharply in Edwards Plateau: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cactus Wren in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 408% by 2029 — from 0.13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.64 (95% range 0.00–2.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±448.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+408%Change by 2029
0.64Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.895% range
±448.4%Backtest error
19692029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.740.002.9
20260.720.002.9
20270.690.002.9
20280.660.002.8
20290.640.002.8

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Cactus Wren in Edwards Plateau.
BoerneTEXAS11996
UtopiaTEXAS12003
Valley SpgsTEXAS12014
HarperTEXAS12024
San SabaTEXAS12024
PidcokeTEXAS11996
Indian MtnTEXAS11998
LeanderTEXAS11996
LeakeyTEXAS11994
MontellTEXAS12022
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS12017
RockspringTEXAS12022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.