BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Burrowing Owl In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaGeneralists

Burrowing Owl in Peninsular Florida has collapsed: down 97% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-97%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
17Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
54YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Burrowing Owl has collapsed in Peninsular Florida: down 97% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Burrowing Owl In Peninsular Florida Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Burrowing Owl in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 100% by 2026 — from 0.09 in 2021 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.83). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±1143.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2026TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.00Projected 2026 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.8395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±1143.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Burrowing Owl in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 100% by 2026 — from 0.09 in 2021 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.83). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±1143.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662026
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20220.000.000.83
20230.000.000.83
20240.000.000.83
20250.000.000.83
20260.000.000.83

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Burrowing Owl in Peninsular Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
BrowardFLORIDA291973
Boca RatonFLORIDA51990
RomeoFLORIDA42013
SalvistaFLORIDA41968
Punta GordaFLORIDA42015
Pennywash CrFLORIDA22021
DavieFLORIDA21994
San AntonioFLORIDA11981
MabelFLORIDA11968
Sunniland GrFLORIDA12021
Ft LonesomeFLORIDA12005
AlturasFLORIDA11986
Devils GardnFLORIDA11999
PalmdaleFLORIDA12010
ClewistonFLORIDA12019
Lake BuffumFLORIDA12021
Shawano 2FLORIDA12007

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.